Oil producers in the Permian
Basin, dealing with a shortage of pipelines, are increasingly turning
to trucks and rail to ship the flood of crude from the West Texas oil
field to refineries and export terminals on the Gulf Coast.
These transportation shifts are driven
by two simple math problems. First, crude oil production in the Permian
has reached 3.6 million barrels a day, while pipeline capacity out of
the region is just 3.5 million barrels a day, according to the energy
research firm Wood Mackenzie. Next, crude is selling for as much as $10
more a barrel in South Texas, the Gulf Coast and other markets outside
of West Texas, where inventories are building in part because of the
lack of pipeline capacity
The latest effort to move oil to more
lucrative markets was launched earlier this week, when the Houston oil
transport company JupiterMLP signed a deal with Vista Proppants and
Logistics of Fort Worth to ship West Texas crude by rail from Vista’s
loading terminal in Pecos. Vista plans to ship about 400,000 barrels a
month from its Pecos terminal through 2019 and potentially into 2020,
depending on when pipeline projects are completed.
It’s unclear how much of crude Vista
will handle for JupiterMLP, which has completed permitting to build a
processing and export terminal at the Port of Brownsville and plans a
670-mile pipeline from West Texas to the export terminal. Neither
company responded to requests for comment.
Pipeline capacity has become a
particular problem in the Permian, as booming production of both crude
and natural gas has exceeded capacity and created bottlenecks. Several
companies, including Kinder Morgan and Phillips 66 Partners, both of
Houston, are racing to complete pipeline projects, but most are not expected to begin operations until at least next year.
The bottlenecks, meanwhile, are not only
having an impact on prices in West Texas prices, but also production.
The Railroad Commission of Texas, which oversees the oil and gas
industry, recently reported that oil production in the state — most of
it concentrated in the Permian — declined about 2 percent in June,
compared to the same month a year earlier, the first year-over-year
decline since early 2017. Analysts attributed the decrease to the
pipeline shortage.
A recent analysis by the London
consultancy Westwood Global Energy Group estimated that pipeline
constraints could delay as much as $1.4 billion of investment in the
Permian and keep 345 wells from getting completed in the second half of
this year. That means the wells have been drilled, but not hydraulically
fractured, or fracked, to begin producing oil and gas.
The number of these drilled but
uncompleted wells, known as DUCs, have increased significantly in the
Permian. The Department of Energy estimated 3,470 DUC wells in the
Permian in July, up 80 percent from just over 1,900 a year earlier.
Production companies big and small are
contracting for pipeline capacity on yet-to-be completed and cutting
deals with trucking companies and rail carriers to get their crude out
of West Texas to other markets in the meantime. Union Pacific Railroad,
one of the largest rail operators in the country, has seen a recent
uptick in crude oil coming out of the Permian, said company spokesman
Jeff DeGraff, though he wouldn’t cite specific figures.
Oil companies have also turned to the
trucking industry to transport their crude, potentially adding more
stress on an industry that is already under pressure from driver
shortages and the demands of hauling record amounts of sand and water
for fracking and moving drilling rigs and equipment from one site to
another.
Matt Nevarez, the director of operations
for the Midland trucking company TexStar Crude Transport in Midland,
said demand for shipping crude is so strong that his company is hiring
trucks out of San Antonio to carry oil from West Texas to South Texas
markets in Three Rivers, Cotulla, and Victoria. When asked which
companies were moving oil by truck, Nevarez said, “All of them.”
“The market spread for what they can
sell a barrel for in South Texas versus Midland, it’s huge, so
everybody’s wanting to get their oil down there,” Nevarez said.
But environmentalists worry that all of
these extra trucks on the road carrying crude oil and trains going
through populated areas could pose a public health risk. Luke Metzger,
the director of the advocacy group Environment Texas, pointed to the oil
train accident and explosions in the Canadian town of Lac-Mégantic that
killed more than 40 people when a train full of North Dakota crude oil
derailed in the middle of town and exploded.
Metzger said he doesn’t believe that
many people in the state are aware of dangers posed by increased
shipments of crude by truck and rail.
“That’s unfortunate because these could
be very dangerous and people need to know that this could be going to a
neighborhood near them soon,” Metzger said.
Relief may be coming in the form of what
John Coleman, a senior research analyst at Wood Mackenzie calls three
mega pipeline projects. Totaling 2.1 million barrels of capacity, they
are the EPIC Crude Oil Pipeline, the Gray Oak Pipeline, and the Cactus 2
Pipeline. All aim to be completed by the end of 2019.
rdruzin@express-news.net | Twitter: @druz_journo
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