Trading houses’ lending to distressed producers and refiners is
booming and cheaper than ever even though many are owed hundreds of
millions of dollars after the collapse of some risky pre-financing
deals.
The suspension of production at Morocco’s oil refinery Samir last
year cost a string of trading firms and oil majors a total estimated at
close to $1 billion (£0.82 billion), and similar arrangements this year
have come under stress in Nigeria.
But
executives from trading houses speaking at the Reuters Commodities
Summit this week said appetite for such deals was rising as the levels
of distress in the industry from a more than two-year price rout
intensifies.
“That’s maybe the sweet spot for us,” BB Energy Chief Executive
Mohamed Bassatne said. “Where we are willing to take the risk, get a
foothold and develop that business.”
BB Energy had roughly $120 million tied up in Samir when it collapsed, and it is unclear whether it will recoup that.
Pre-financing is an arrangement under which those with money or
access to it – such as oil trading houses – can give cash in advance to
companies and countries who need it in exchange for oil, refined
products or another form of payment.
When they go well, companies can get exclusive access to crude or oil products to trade on international markets.
But the deals are dicey. Those seeking money enter into such deals
often because more traditional finance deals are unavailable for them or
are more expensive due to higher risk.
“Every time these things happen, we look at ourselves and say we have
to price risk more aggressively…correctly. And then we turn around and
somebody else has cut the risk premium dramatically in terms of some
other trade,” Vitol Chief Executive Ian Taylor said. “The market is very
competitive.”
Vitol, the world’s largest trading house, also has dozens of millions of dollars trapped in Samir.
HIGHER RISKS
Part of the drive for risk is the cost of finance – with interest
rates at multi-year lows, banks and others with capital are hungry for
any investments that could bring a better return.
“Our view is…the risks are higher now, rather than lower, compared to
a year and a half ago,” Gunvor Chief Executive Torbjorn Tornqvist said.
But financing costs, even on what would fall into the higher risk
category, had not increased. “Generally we are living in a world where
capital is less of a problem than it has ever been,” Tornqvist said.
Trafigura Chief Financial Officer Christophe Salmon said even though
more banks are asking questions about commodity exposure before lending
money to trading houses, the cost of borrowing has fallen over the past
year. Global interest rates remain exceptionally low.
All trading executives said they had beefed up their compliance teams
and examined deals more closely to ensure they are not caught out,
although mistakes would still be made.
“We have seen defaults before and we will see more in the future,”
said Glencore’s head of oil Alex Beard, whose company is one of Samir’s
large creditors.
“That (pre-financing) has been a core part of the business, it’s been a good part of the business,” Beard said.
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